Geopolitics
Eeny, meeny, miny, moe,
Catch a tiger by the toe,
If he hollers, Pick yes or no,
Eeny, meeny, miny, moe"
🇺🇸
US strikes Iran by...?
January 23
January 31
$9m Vol.
🇻🇳
Vietnam Communist Party General Secretary Election
To Lam
Phan Van Giang
$45k Vol.
🇺🇸
US next strikes Iran on...?
January 19
January 23
$8m Vol.
🇺🇦
2%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31...?
Yes
No
$1m Vol.
Monthly🧑
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran...?
<6 Months
January 24
$183k Vol.
🇱🇧
WH tweet: strike Lebanon on...?
January 20
January 22
$16m Vol.
🇮🇱
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Yes
No
$11m Vol.
Monthly🤝
Who will Trump meet with on January 31?
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Friedrich Merz
$89m Vol.
Daily🇺🇦
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31...?
Yes
No
$1m Vol.
Monthly🇨🇷
Costa Rica Presidential Election
Laura Vargas...
José Miguel Aguilar...
$7m Vol.
🇮🇱
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by...?
<1% Daily
February 15
$6m Vol.
Monthly🇰🇷
Yoon Suk Yeol Insurrection Case Pham Tran?
No Prison or Life
<5 Years
$1m Vol.
🇵🇸
Will Israel strike Gaza on...?
January 19
January 23
$8m Vol.
Daily🇺🇸
US/Israel strikes Iran by...?
January 31
February 15
$8m Vol.
🇺🇸
Will the US drone strikes be overturned in 2026?
Yes
No
$8m Vol.
Daily🧑
17%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran...?
<6 Months
January 24
$7m Vol.
Daily🇸🇾
Next Country: US Strikes
Somalia
Syria
$76k Vol.
Monthly🇨🇳
WH: China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Yes
No
$7m Vol.
Monthly🇻🇪
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Delcy Rodriguez
Maria Corina Machado
$11m Vol.
🇮🇱
Israel strikes Iran by January 31?
Yes
No
$10m Vol.
Monthly🇮🇷
WH the Iranian regime falls by January 31?
Yes
No
$7m Vol.
Monthly🧑
24%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran...?
<6 Months
January 24
$7m Vol.
Daily🇺🇸
Trump out as President before 2027?
Yes
No
$5m Vol.
Monthly🇳🇱
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Scholz - Netherlands
Duttweiler - Argentin...
$8m Vol.
🇬🇱
WH the U.S. acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Yes
No
$89k Vol.
🇺🇸
Who will Trump shake hands with January 31?
Abdul Fatah El-Sisi
Guy Haimish
$166k Vol.
🇺🇦
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit (not war kit) at the State of...?
Yes
No
$14M Vol.
🇫🇷
WH France, UK or Germany strikes Iran by...?
Yes
No
$89k Vol.
🇨🇳
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Yes
No
$4M Vol.
🇸🇴
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?
Yes
No
$82k Vol.
Daily🇺🇦
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of...?
Yes
No
$10m Vol.
🇺🇸
Trump any of Trump's Greenland Tariffs go act...?
Yes
No
$15k Vol.
Monthly🇩🇰
Trump-Denmark: Greenland deal signed...?
Yes
No
$24k Vol.
🇨🇷
Costa Rica Legislative Assembly Election
PPSD
PLN
$23k Vol.
🇬🇧
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in January?
United Kingdom
Israel
$84k Vol.
🇨🇳
Will China invade Taiwan before 31, 2026?
Yes
No
$5m Vol.
Monthly🇲🇽
US strikes on Mexico by...?
Yes
No
$98k Vol.
🇭🇺
Which countries will join the Board of Peace by March 31?
Hungary
Slovakia
$78k Vol.
🇺🇸
Who will Trump talk to in January?
Friedrigh Merz
Benjamin Elec
$25k Vol.
Monthly🇮🇷
WH Khamenei leave Iran by...?
Yes
No
$96k Vol.
🇮🇷
37%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran...?
<6 Months
January 24
$8m Vol.
Daily🇮🇷
WH the Iranian regime falls by January 31?
Yes
No
$94k Vol.
🇷🇺
WH Russia capture Pokrovsk by...?
Yes
No
$12m Vol.
🇸🇩
Sudan civil war ends by...?
June 2026
December 2026
$2.1m Vol.
🇸🇩
RSF captures Khartoum by...?
March 2026
June 2026
$1.8m Vol.
🇹🇭
Thailand-Cambodia border dispute by...?
Resolved
Escalates
$900k Vol.
🇮🇳
India-Pakistan military clash by...?
March 2026
June 2026
$1.5m Vol.
🇾🇪
Yemen peace agreement signed by...?
March 2026
June 2026
$1.2m Vol.
🇸🇾
Syrian government falls by...?
June 2026
December 2026
$2.5m Vol.
🇹🇷
Turkey military operation in Syria by...?
March 2026
June 2026
$1.9m Vol.
🗺️
Ukraine territory control changes by March?
Russia gains
Ukraine gains
$5.2m Vol.
🇵🇸
Gaza ceasefire agreement by February?
Yes
No
$6.8m Vol.
🇻🇪
US military intervention in Venezuela by...?
March 2026
June 2026
$2.4m Vol.