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Eeny, meeny, miny, moe,
Catch a tiger by the toe,
If he hollers, Pick yes or no,
Eeny, meeny, miny, moe"
Will Jodo Cofrim de Figueiredo win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election in the Lisbon district?
Will António José Seguro win the first round?
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 50%?
Will Antonio José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX's initial public offering?
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 44%?
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Elon says "the idea grows more appealing every day" re: buying Ryan Air and replacing the CEO with someone named Ryan.
8% chance he does it.